Guineueta vs San Mauro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
GUI
18%
22%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 0
IGU
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
GUI
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 0
ALP
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
1 - 1
GUI
21%
23%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Mauro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
BAL
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
SMA
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 2
UAH
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 1
SMA
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 2
RUB
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |