Guineueta vs At. Alpicat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
1 - 1
GUI
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 0
CEA
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
GUI
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 3
SAB
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 0
GUI
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Alpicat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
ALP
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
UAH
18%
22%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
ALP
32%
24%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 2
SMA
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |