Equatorial Guinea vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EQG
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
EQG
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CGO
1 - 0
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
TAN
2 - 2
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NAM
0 - 1
TAN
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
TAN
1 - 1
COD
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 1
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |