Equatorial Guinea vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
72.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
EQG
29%
24%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 1
CMR
6%
17%
78%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
KEN
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 4
SEN
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MUS
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
65%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |