Equatorial Guinea vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EQG
0 - 0
RWA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CMR
2 - 0
EQG
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EQG
1 - 0
CMR
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
EQG
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
2 - 1
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NIG
3 - 1
TOG
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOG
1 - 0
NIG
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
CPV
2 - 0
TOG
50%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
TOG
2 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |