Equatorial Guinea vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CMR
2 - 0
EQG
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EQG
1 - 0
CMR
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
EQG
2 - 0
LBY
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
EQG
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 0
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 1
ETH
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETH
0 - 0
RWA
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 1
SEN
15%
26%
59%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RWA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 2
GUI
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |