Equatorial Guinea vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.5%
88.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
19.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
17.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
20.2%
0-4
11.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
13.2%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SLE
3 - 2
EQG
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
3 - 0
EQG
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
EQG
0 - 3
CPV
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
GEO
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BLR
90%
9%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHI
81%
14%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
FIN
0 - 2
ESP
5%
13%
83%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
11%
18%
72%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |