Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 0
SDN
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
KEN
1 - 0
EQG
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
EQG
1 - 3
NGA
18%
28%
54%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
1 - 0
EQG
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
MAD
0 - 1
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
MAD
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |