Equatorial Guinea vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
EQG
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 0
EQG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
EQG
0 - 3
GNB
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SEN
3 - 1
EQG
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 0
EQG
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
LBY
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
MTN
2 - 0
LBY
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LBY
2 - 1
NIG
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
KWT
0 - 2
LBY
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBY
65%
20%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |