Equatorial Guinea vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
EQG
29%
24%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
EQG
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
EQG
1 - 1
CMR
6%
17%
78%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 0
EQG
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
LBY
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
0 - 0
LBY
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LBY
1 - 0
MOZ
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
LBY
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | 0 |