Equatorial Guinea vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
COD
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COD
4 - 0
EQG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 2
SLE
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 1
EQG
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 0
EQG
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 0
CPV
69%
19%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
2 - 1
ANG
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CPV
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
CPV
66%
22%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
0 - 0
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |