Guimarei vs Arzua B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guimarei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
GUI
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
5 - 2
DEZ
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUI
44%
21%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAN
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPI
3 - 2
GUI
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arzua B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
6 - 0
DOZ
52%
21%
28%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COG
7 - 2
ARZ
64%
19%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CRU
50%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SIL
2 - 2
ARZ
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
3 - 5
TOU
47%
21%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |