Guilsfield FC vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
9º
4º
77
2º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
GUI
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
RTW
0 - 1
GUI
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
PRE
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
RTW
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
GUI
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 1
BUC
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
HOL
30%
23%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 6
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 6
HOL
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |