Guilsfield FC vs Holyhead Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
9º
4º
16
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 4
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 4
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 0
LLA
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 0
GUI
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 1
CEF
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 1
HOL
76%
14%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 1
PEN
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 4
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
3 - 1
HOL
58%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |