Guilsfield FC vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 4
GUI
12%
17%
72%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
LLA
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HOL
4 - 2
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 5
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 0
DEN
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DEN
6 - 1
AAA
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AIR
3 - 1
DEN
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
DEN
4 - 3
PRE
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |