Guillermo Brown vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
GBR
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
SMA
29%
28%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
GBR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
GBR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GBR
0 - 1
BEL
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 2
RAF
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
SMA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 1
SMA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 1
SMA
29%
28%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |