Guillermo Brown vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JUU
5 - 0
GBR
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GBR
1 - 0
CIP
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
GBR
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GBR
3 - 0
RAO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 0
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
RIV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAI
3 - 1
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
JUU
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CIP
3 - 2
RIV
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |