Guillermo Brown vs Racing Olavarría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
GBR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
GBR
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
GBR
4 - 2
JUU
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 2
MAI
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAO
4 - 0
RSA
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 2
RAO
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAO
4 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
RAO
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |