Guillermo Brown vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 2
GBR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 2
ATT
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ALD
5 - 0
GBR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 3
HUR
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
GIM
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
PAT
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 2
ATL
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
GLP
0 - 0
PAT
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 2
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |