Guillermo Brown vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GBR
0 - 3
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ATT
0 - 0
GBR
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GBR
0 - 1
DAL
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
GBR
50%
29%
21%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 2
CCS
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
ATT
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
SLO
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 0
INS
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CCS
1 - 1
INS
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |