Guillermo Brown vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
IRV
2 - 1
GBR
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 0
CSE
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 2
GBR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GBR
1 - 2
PAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GIM
4 - 2
GBR
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 2
RSA
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 1
ALB
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TAL
1 - 0
RSA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 1
BUC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |