Guillermo Brown vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DES
0 - 0
GBR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 2
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 2
RSA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
DFR
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
RSA
38%
27%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
CCS
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |