Guillermo Brown vs Dep. Roca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CIP
0 - 2
GBR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
1 - 1
CGB
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 2
GBR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
GBR
3 - 1
INN
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
GBR
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CGB
0 - 1
DRO
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
1 - 3
INN
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
DRO
48%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
0 - 1
CIP
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
3 - 0
DRO
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -3 |