Guillermo Brown vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 1
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
2 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
CIP
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
DFR
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |