Guillermo Brown vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 2
GBR
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
INS
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
GBR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
GLP
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 2
GBR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 2
ATT
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GIM
1 - 4
RIV
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
ALD
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
INS
0 - 0
RIV
32%
31%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 2
RIV
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |