Guillermo Brown vs CA Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
GBR
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
HUR
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 2
GBR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
SPB
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 2
GIM
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
HUR
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 2
GLP
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
HUR
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 2
VEL
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |