Guillermo Brown vs Boca Río Gallegos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |