Guillermo Brown vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.6%
54.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
19.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 1
GBR
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAG
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
GBR
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 1
GIM
24%
30%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
STM
4 - 1
GBR
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
CHA
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 3
BEL
23%
30%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
DEF
59%
26%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
BEL
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 1
SUA
67%
22%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |