Guillermo Brown vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 1
GBR
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GBR
2 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
29%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GBR
3 - 1
MOR
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 1
GBR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
FEN
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 1
BAR
32%
30%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
STM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
SMG
1 - 1
BAR
17%
30%
54%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |