Guillermo Brown vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
GBR
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
RSA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 1
GBR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
GBR
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
ATL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
DEF
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |