Guijuelo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
70.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
2 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 2
CDG
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 1
ROB
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PON
5 - 0
CDG
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESP
27%
26%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
SPO
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
ZAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
40%
31%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
ELC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |