Guijuelo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CDG
3 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
CDG
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CDG
2 - 1
NAV
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAB
0 - 0
CDG
10%
20%
70%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CDG
2 - 1
CDT
52%
26%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRU
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MIA
2 - 1
MOR
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 2
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
SDT
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |