Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Guijuelo vs Leganés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 1
CDG
37%
27%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CDG
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CDG
1 - 1
COX
57%
24%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CDO
0 - 1
CDG
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 0
ATH
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 4
LEG
14%
25%
61%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
CDT
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LPA
1 - 1
LEG
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 0
TUD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |