Guichen vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 1
SPM
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 2
PLA
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LAT
1 - 0
GUI
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOC
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STA
3 - 1
GUI
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ERG
0 - 0
STA
22%
22%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ERG
2 - 0
PLA
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ERG
0 - 2
LAT
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LOC
3 - 2
ERG
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ERG
1 - 2
STA
7%
14%
80%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |