Guerreros vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUE
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
PUM
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 1
LOB
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 3
GUE
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUE
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
REB
2 - 0
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 1
REB
35%
27%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
REB
3 - 1
IRA
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
NEC
0 - 0
REB
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
REB
2 - 1
DOR
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |