Guerreros vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 0
GUE
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GUE
2 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
CSL
2 - 0
GUE
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
GUE
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 0
MER
24%
26%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
REB
3 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
QRO
1 - 2
REB
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MER
4 - 0
REB
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
QRO
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
3 - 1
REB
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |