Guerreros vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUE
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 0
IRA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GUE
1 - 3
TEC
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
GUE
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 1
DOR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
LEO
1 - 0
CDT
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LEO
0 - 4
IRA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 3
LEO
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 1
AGU
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
DOR
0 - 1
LEO
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |