Guerreros vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MER
3 - 0
GUE
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
ORI
29%
29%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 1
GUE
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
2 - 0
REB
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUE
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
VER
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IRA
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAZ
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
2 - 1
DOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |