Guerreros vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
REB
0 - 0
GUE
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GUE
2 - 1
LEO
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
GUE
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
3 - 0
GUE
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
DUR
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UAT
0 - 2
VER
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
UAT
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UAT
0 - 1
IRA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
UAT
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
UAT
0 - 1
DOR
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |