Guerreros vs Atlante II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
GUE
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUE
3 - 2
QRO
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 1
GUE
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 3
REB
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 0
GUE
47%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlante II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
QRO
2 - 1
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
IRA
36%
27%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
REB
3 - 0
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
SAG
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |