Guéret vs Stade Poitevin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
13º
13º
36
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GDB
4 - 0
GUE
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUE
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 1
PED
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 1
GUE
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUE
0 - 2
FCL
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NIO
0 - 2
POI
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POI
1 - 1
GDB
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POI
2 - 2
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 0
POI
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
POI
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |