Guéret vs Anglet Genets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
13º
13º
50
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
GUE
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUE
3 - 2
NIO
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GUE
1 - 1
CNF
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
POI
0 - 0
GUE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GUE
1 - 2
GDB
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Anglet Genets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LES
1 - 1
POI
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LES
0 - 3
BAY
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GDB
1 - 1
LES
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 2
LES
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LES
2 - 4
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |