Gudja United vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
53.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
10º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gudja United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
GUD
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GUD
0 - 3
FLO
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SIR
2 - 0
GUD
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUD
1 - 0
PIE
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
GUD
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 0
SLU
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ZEB
4 - 2
HAM
15%
24%
62%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GZI
1 - 2
HAM
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
MOS
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |