Búhos ULVR vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
55
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
IMB
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
OCT
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PQU
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
INJ
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 3
AME
25%
28%
48%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CUN
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |