Búhos ULVR vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |