Búhos ULVR vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
55.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUN
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |