Búhos ULVR vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
INJ
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
4 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |