Búhos ULVR vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PQU
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
OLM
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
IMB
1 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHA
38%
29%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
IVT
3 - 1
OCT
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 0
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
OCT
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
OCT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |