WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 4-2
Guatemala vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
GTM
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 2
PAN
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 3
GTM
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PER
0 - 0
GTM
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
GTM
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUR
8 - 1
ABW
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
SUR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
ANT
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |