Guatemala vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
71.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 0
GTM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
1 - 1
GLP
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
GTM
4 - 0
GUY
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CUW
0 - 0
GTM
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
TTO
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 0
NGA
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
PAN
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
HND
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |