WC Qual. CONCACAF 2da Ronda Final
Global 9-1
Guatemala vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
GTM
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GTM
0 - 1
PAN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2007 |
JAM
2 - 0
GTM
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATG
6 - 1
LCA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
LCA
2 - 0
TCA
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
TCA
2 - 1
LCA
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
0 - 2
VAN
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
LCA
5 - 3
VAN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |